Digital policy scenarios
CGE Monte Carlo estimates of GDP impact for four digital-economy reform packages, plus a lab for user-defined reforms.
Model projections, not observed data. GDP impacts come from an economic (CGE) model run many times with a randomly drawn trade elasticity (Monte Carlo); each country's effect scales with its DEII and GDP per capita. Bands are the 2.5th to 97.5th percentile of the draws.
Regional GDP impact
Mean % GDP impact per AU region, all four reforms
Country impacts · scenario A
A — top 20 by mean % GDP impact (2.5–97.5 percentile band in the tooltip)
Simulation lab
Define your own reform (base GDP shock, trade elasticity, draws) and run the same Monte Carlo the preset scenarios use. Sign in with a role that holds run_custom_scenarios to use the lab.
Preset anchors: digital tax reform 1.45 · broadband 2.30 · anti-corruption 1.15 · combined 4.65
How easily trade re-routes between partners (calibrated mean 3.8)